The trouble I have this time round is that Sturgeon's whose argument revolves around the fact that Scotland voted to stay in the EU (let's not split semantics, the split was pretty clear). She wants to take Scotland out of the UK so they can stay within the EU, or specifically the single market. However, it's a plan that falls over for the exact same reasons as last time, along with some new ones:
- If Scotland leaves the U.K., it leaves the EU. End of. They will have to apply to join the EU, which means taking the Euro and sorting out the black hole in their finances.
- If they vote leave before Brexit (possible, on Sturgeon's timetable) it leaves only 6 months max to sort out the legal breaking from the UK. That is far, far too short a time period to achieve that, so Scotland will simply Brexit with the rest of us.
Plus she still has no answer for what currency an indie Scotland will use, where the money to run Scotland is coming from, why you'd rather join the EU than stay with the countries that you do the vast majority of your trade with etc. It's the same non-answered questions as before. She's had three years and got no further in formulating a plan, all the time watching the infrastructure in Scotland fall further and further behind.
Let's assume they vote to leave in time, and sort out the documentation, and manage to do a deal with the EU where they keep single market access (which means unlimited immigration, if that's even a concern at all). Or even a deal to join the EU proper. Regardless, Spain will always vote no due to Catalonia wanting independence which means it's dead in the water. I find myself this time not being too fussed if Scotland votes to leave or not, but I do find myself hoping that it's for the right reasons and not a pie in the sky dream like Bexit was. Make your leaders give you accurate answers, not Evil Tory Pig-Dog rhetoric.